Fundamental Analysis, Stocks, Technical Analysis »
My Mom asked me about Bed Bath and Beyond recently. She used to be a store manager there. She sold her stock a while ago (missed that big up swing) but thinks there may be a buying opportunity now. I also owned some way back and sold after a small gain, missing most of the big 2-3 year rally here.
Anyway, here is my analysis and response to her. (The spreadsheet I refer to is one based on Phil Town’s Payback Time book you should be able to find on his …
Stocks »
Netflix lowered their subscriber numbers for the year last night, leading to a big 14% drop in the stock price today (so far). Fellow InvestorGeek Chris texted me asking if I’d be buying Netflix in the 50s.
I personally won’t be buying any $NFLX stock today, but only because I already own a lot of Netflix stock int he $60s. I have too much tied up in $NFLX already to add to my position. Though I may buy in more later this year, early next, as I fund my account and if …
Stocks, Technical Analysis »
Netflix is another company I’m accumulating stock in for a long term play. Until recently, NFLX was one of those stocks I always wanted to buy into but thought it was overpriced. I waited for a pull back that never came until… all the hoop la last fall.
Assuming subscribers and revenue can grow faster than content costs (not a sure assumption, see SIRI as a counter example), Netflix is going to make some good money and is worth more than 2x Revenue IMO. Buyout possibilities are the icing on the …
Stocks, Technical Analysis »
I bought a chunk of Microsoft (MSFT) stock at $25. At the time, my thinking was “why does MSFT have a PE below 10″? While a stock like AAPL is priced for perfection (which they keep delivering), at a 10 PE Microsoft was priced for mediocrity… and it’s been treading water it has for the better part of a decade.
We’re now moving toward that $35 level where it’s had trouble in the past. All MSFT needs is a break out product to bust through that level and reach toward its former …
Stocks, Technical Analysis »
Today I’ll show a couple charts for Google (GOOG), which I am accumulating in my retirement account. My strategy with Google is to get as many shares as possible as cheaply as possible. I have some targets where I’d be stupid not to sell, but in general GOOG prices stay fairly valued to my estimates. I buy on the dips.
Above is a 6 month chart. There is support at around $560 and resistance above around $670 and the all time highs. I drew an optimistic support line there on the …
Stocks, Technical Analysis »
I’m going to post some charts of “my book” over the next few days. I may post things from my watch list, and I will try to post updates on these as needed.
First up is Activision Blizzard (ATVI), which I bought last year basically so I could own a piece of Blizzard.
Blizzard is the Pixar of videogames. Everything is a hit. I also think they are pretty smart about how to expand the business of videogames… by encouraging Star Craft as an esport and other things.
So, here is a six …
Fundamental Analysis, Stocks »
Trefis provides some great reports that show up in my Etrade account. Their analysis is very thorough. I especially like how they break down different business units and how much of a stock’s share price is tied to each unit.
Trefis values Facebook (based on the limited pre-IPO information they have) at $74 Billion, based largely on their advertising business and growth via a growing user base (from 800 million to 2.6 billion) and increased ad revenues from video and music services Facebook is working on.
Here is the report.
They go into …
Fundamental Analysis, News & Interest, Stocks »
Facebook released their numbers in preparation for an IPO, showing 2011 revenue of $3.7 Billion and profits of $1 Billion. Speculation is the IPO will be valued as high as $100 Billion.
This would be a P/E of 100. That’s high, but then P/E’s are not as significant an indicator for young companies with a lot of growth potential. So can Facebook grow enough to justify a $100 Billion price tag? I’m not so sure.
The easy justification goes like this:
Facebook has been focused on user growth and they were still growing 100% …
Asides »
I’m enjoying the interview with Timothy Sykes over at Mixergy.com. Love the energy.
Grab it while it’s free there.
Fundamental Analysis, Stocks, Technical Analysis »
Sometimes you look at a stock like Netflix when it was trading at $300+ and think “Here is a great company in a market with super growth, but how can I justify the price?”
Well, it turns out you don’t have to justify the price because the market is beating the shit out of the stock. It’s trading after hours right now at around $86, and who knows where the market will take it.
Hip Egg had the next level of support at around $60, so I would look for the price …



