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Vonage’s IPO: An offer you can’t refuse?

Frank 21 May 2006 548 views 8 Comments

As I’m sure you’ve all heard by now. Vonage has decided to offer some of their customers a shot at getting in on their IPO action. I happen to be one of those elligible customers, but should I buy in?

To be honest, when I first heard about the IPO and the fact that I would be able to pick up a few shares, I was really excited. I contacted the other InvestorGeeks and we all chattered about how cool it would be to get in on an IPO. But not just an IPO, an IPO of a company  that offers a service all of us believed in.  

But before we all jumped on board, we decided to check it out. We downloaded the prospectus and did a bit of poking around, and a bit of thinking. We discovered some very interesting things in only a short amount of time.

What did we discover? Well some of it is solid fact, some of it is a feeling about the business environment, and some of it is unsettling conjecture. We’ll start with the cold hard facts however.

After looking through the prospectus three things stood out. The first, that Vonage is currently (about) $500 Million in the hole. Why? Their spending on marketing. It’s understandable that a company such as Vonage needs to get their name out there. But they readily admit “this strategy will have the effect of delaying or preventing us from generating net income in the near term”. Which is not something I enjoy hearing.

The next thing I noticed was their laundry list of risk factors. In which they mention their unprofitability, their competition, and their dependence upon their customers existing broadband connections. Which may as well read, “we depend on our competition”. In the absence on net neutrality legislation, this is a huge issue. At any given time, the companies which Vonage is competing against, could decide to block access to the service. Vonage would have little if any recourse. While the legality of such a move on the parts of Vonage’s competition is still legally grey, it’s worth noting that Verizon has, in the past, been fined for not providing  “the same level of service to competitors as it’s own retail customers”.

The last intriguing tidbit was that, apparently, the founder and Chairman of the company, Jeffrey A. Citron has been fined for securities fraud in relation to Datek Securities Corporation (page 118 of the Prospectus). Not exactly confidence instilling. Now, on to the conjecture.

Why, exactly, did Vonage decide to offer shares to their customers? In most IPOs, the vast majority of shares are offered to underwritters, and other big players. So why would Vonage offer lowly customers the opportunity to purchase lots as small as 100 shares in size? In my opinion there were a number of reasons.

The first of which was that it would create a buzz. VoIP is not exactly a hot topic right now. There are a number of reasons for this, tech’s out of favor for one. But more importantly, most people just don’t care about it. VoIP is a change in the underlying architecture of how phone calls are made. Not a change in how people use their phones. So lacking any sort of buzz, by offering shares to their customers they created their own. Whether or not it worked is debatable. It barely made a blip in tech circles, and I’m not even sure it registered anywhere else.
Second, I feel that a good number of customers will be excited by this opportunity and buy into the IPO. This will help Vonage sell additional shares and, perhaps, avoid an immediate drop in share price.

While I’ll keep an eye on the company, overall I am not impressed with what Vonage has to offer at this time. I will not be buying into the IPO. The company’s history, it’s leadership, and the fact that it’s entirely dependent upon its direct competitors to provide its service all leave me with a sour feeling regarding this offering.

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8 Comments »

  • Anonymous said:

    Vonages IPO: An offer you cant refuse? on InvestorGeeks…

    Read why this InvestorGeek is passing on the recent customer offer he received from Vonage to get in on their IPO….

  • Brian Balfour said:

    Add into the mix that skype just announced free calling to any land line or cell phone, and Vonage, or any other VOIP company for that matter, has a serious issue ahead of them.

    -Brian Balfour

  • Frank (author) said:

    Vonage dropped 15% today, it’s first day of trading.

  • Working Solo said:

    Carnival of Capitalists - Downunder Edition…

    Role up! Role Up! to this week’s Carnival of the Capitalists (being hosted from Sydney, Australia). I am your host, Leah Maclean, and I hope that you enjoy the 42 submissions to this week’s carnival. Take a moment to not…

  • Doug Pedersen said:

    Dropped again today.

  • Doug Pedersen said:

    Apparently, you can refuse after all, since, in order to avoid pissing off customers, Vonage will repurchase customer shares issued at the IPO. Wonder how much money we are talking about? I would be annoyed if I were one of the other shareholders, but I recognize dthat you cannot afford to be losing your customer base over a poor IPO investment.

    Now, if we could only get them to give up that damn theme song.

  • Doug Pedersen said:

    I was wrong! Vonage is now backtracking, and is making it clear that they did not agree to repurchase the shares. They said that they wouldn’t sue their customers if they didn’t pay for their shares. But how many didn’t pay is probably small. Others are out of luck. Turns out, the other shareholders were not happy.

    Still, I hope that as a public company, pressure is put on them to reduce advertising expense. This means less of that damn song.

  • Frank (author) said:

    The Washington Post has an article on the dilemma that Vonage is now facing.

    Vonage in Predicament After Public Offering

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