My Long Term Trend...

I have to admit that my statistics model was walloped. Hey I was wrong, and that happens. About a year ago I did simple trend analysis of the long term DOW (since 1929) and what I saw I did not like. It said that we would reach levels that we are at now. So why did I not talk about that? Because I...

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Wow, Tom Friedman is Talking Contradictory

So I watched Meet the Press with Tom Friedman, and here is what he says: > Remember, what was Detroit's plan two years ago when they, when they confronted this problem?  It was to subsidize gasoline at a $1.99 a gallon if you bought a Hummer or Suburban or a big truck--that was their idea of...

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China Bad BUT Walmart Good?

Here is what you have to wonder about. China is a country that is suffering, and is a country that will collapse. At least that is what people are thinking. For example here is a quote that I heard in the media (CNBC Squawkbox). > "China is a construction story, and you have to wonder why they are...

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Friedman and Automotive Critics are Being Disingenuous

I listened to Friedman's rant on how wrong the big three are and that they should not get any money, yada, yada, yada... Folks, I have been involved both directly and indirectly in the automotive industry since 1985! My father used to a VP/Plant Manager for Magna, and Grammer. I myself have worked...

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On Long Term Investing, Presidents, and the DOW

I was doing some thinking on the new American President and the current president. In particular I wanted to know how the market did for some presidents. So I looked back at the DOW and looked at the dates when each president was in office. I came up with the following table. | | | --- | |...

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Oh, Our Next Problem: The Market is Orderly!

Oh where, oh where, is the capitulation. As I said before it ain't gonna happen! And the reason is algorithmic trading. At IB there is the vwap algo, and its purpose is: > To achieve the Volume-Weighted Average price (VWAP), calculated from the time you submit the order to the close of the market....

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My Hats Off To You Colin Powell

I have always admired Colin Powell ever since the first Gulf War. Colin Powell being a proud American reminds me of all the good that America can be. Just like Warren Buffet! These two individuals represent the good and what America can be. The following comment he said, says it all and should be...

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