
One Year Later and My Recommendations…
One year into the credit crisis, and one year after Cramer’s rant. I decided to take a look at what I was thinking in August of 2007?
On August 28, I said the following:
So you see Tom, I can’t be optimistic. There are too many crossed signals floating about. I will still be trading, but I feel caution is the order of the day. Though, who knows this is idle thinking and not relevant at all. Who knows maybe in a year we will all laugh about this “pot hole.”
Well caution was a good call, since we have slid quite a bit. What is funny is that at the time people said, “hey it is a buying opportunity.” (CRAMER the new “guru” included) Yet at the time I said, “stay away…”
From the way that people and traders are talking you are led to believe that point 1 is the truth and that in October the American Fed will cut the interest rate. I have a hard time trying to make the two ends meet, and don’t see it happening if the economy and corporations are doing well. Thus I wonder why catch a falling knife?
Though right now I am catching a falling knife, and that I find funny, since I am rather optimistic.
Right now my portfolio is bleeding, but I have taken profits in a few stocks to reinvest again. So on the whole I am not disappointed. Though the one call that is haunting me day and night is my GPS call. I regret that I started reinvesting with those stocks! Na ja next time I will know better.
What have been some of my better plays? Financial’s, industrials, and a few techs…
I am optimistic. Yes supposedly the world is collapsing, but I am optimistic. Some will point out that Europe spending is down and things will slow down. Though as one Bloomberg commentator said, “I would like to add that Germans are not shoppers…” Sort of says it all.
Hello There Mr Roboto!
(the song and era says it all... http://www.devspace.com)
2 Comments Add your ownSubscribe
1. Jason | August 4th, 2008 at 8:42 am
Funny you mention GPS stocks. I got out of GRMN a while ago, and now it is looking very attractive at a PE of 8.5.
I have a post in the works, and will try to get it out there, but in general I think investors are confusing Garmin’s business and customer base. Garmin doesn’t have to play the iPhone game to be successful. There are plenty of GPS needs in planes, defense, and many many cars.
Right now I’m listening to some Garmin conference calls to make sure Garmin management feels the same way I do. If they come across misguided themselves, I’m going to stay away.
2. Christian Gross | August 4th, 2008 at 9:09 am
You were smart there… I was dumb…
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