
We just broke through the March low without blinking…
…the next low (read: the next support level) is 1222 of June 13th, 2006. (!!!)
We appear to have bounced back off that level, but that support level is not holding strongly. Don’t be suprised if it falls over.
Countrywide is all but gone. That is the last of the non-bank lenders.
What is even more shocking is - bigger resets are going to hit in September and October! You could argue that we are now pricing in these resets, but that would suggest the market is efficient. Don’t for a second think the consumer is going to keep going - Walmart is right, proceeding forward the consumer is tapped.
Good luck,
Phil
Phil John grew up in Perth, Western Australia. He has BSs in Biotechnology and Chemistry. Phil worked for 3 years as an IP Attorney before moving in house as the IP Manager for a small, publicly listed pharmaceutical company. Finance-wise, he is particularly interested in the Austrian school of economics and their theories on money supply and the business cycle.
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