Comments on: Thoughts on the Price of Oil and Gas http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/ Learning and sharing investment knowledge. Thu, 04 Dec 2008 21:58:12 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.0.4 by: Tramadol side effects. http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-72550 Fri, 11 May 2007 22:06:01 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-72550 <strong>Side effects of tramadol in canines....</strong> Tramadol for dogs side effects. Tramadol side effects.... Side effects of tramadol in canines….

Tramadol for dogs side effects. Tramadol side effects….

]]> by: Energy Watch on InvestorGeeks http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-7975 Fri, 20 Oct 2006 04:13:01 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-7975 [...] For the past little while I have kept a closer eye on energy. So I am thinking that maybe I should create a regular blog column about energy? If you like my previous blog entry at Investor Geeks, and liked my other articles regarding energy, please tell. And if you are interested, tell me what you would like me to keep an eye on and what questions should be answered. In a previous blog entry I talked about the price of oil. A couple of days ago I was watching Boone Pickens on CNBC. He was commenting on what direction oil will take, and in his words, “I think you’ll see $70 before you see $50.” This was the same individual that said, “80 before 60.” History has shown that oil did not reach 80, even though it was only a few dimes away from 80. I am going to cut Boone some slack in that oil did reach 80 before 60, but I will take Boone to task in that he was also saying oil would reach 100 USD. [...] […] For the past little while I have kept a closer eye on energy. So I am thinking that maybe I should create a regular blog column about energy? If you like my previous blog entry at Investor Geeks, and liked my other articles regarding energy, please tell. And if you are interested, tell me what you would like me to keep an eye on and what questions should be answered. In a previous blog entry I talked about the price of oil. A couple of days ago I was watching Boone Pickens on CNBC. He was commenting on what direction oil will take, and in his words, “I think you’ll see $70 before you see $50.” This was the same individual that said, “80 before 60.” History has shown that oil did not reach 80, even though it was only a few dimes away from 80. I am going to cut Boone some slack in that oil did reach 80 before 60, but I will take Boone to task in that he was also saying oil would reach 100 USD. […]

]]> by: Christian Gross http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-7079 Fri, 06 Oct 2006 11:15:01 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-7079 I am going to comment on this in my next-next blog entry. In short I don't completely agree with you and I will explain why. I am going to comment on this in my next-next blog entry.

In short I don’t completely agree with you and I will explain why.

]]> by: emptyspaces http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-7032 Fri, 06 Oct 2006 00:01:11 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-7032 Good analysis, but you forgot something important. what happens when the dollar is devalued another 20% and oil companies demand payments in euros? it might not affect world oil prices but it will affect US prices. I'm betting on higher oil and gas prices. i think oil will go back up to $75/bbl within next 12 months. Good analysis, but you forgot something important.

what happens when the dollar is devalued another 20% and oil companies demand payments in euros?

it might not affect world oil prices but it will affect US prices. I’m betting on higher oil and gas prices. i think oil will go back up to $75/bbl within next 12 months.

]]> by: Christian Gross http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-6065 Thu, 28 Sep 2006 20:12:06 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-6065 Bill: Ugh... My first article and you ask, "Should I hold or sell?" I guess it is a fair question. After all if I write an article and give advice I should be able to back it up, no? Ok, first disclaimer! I am not a professional! So take my comments and advice with a grain of salt, and I am not liable, ok? Now to answer your question, should you sell? I looked at your fund in detail, and while I share your pain! And I do! I would be hesistant to sell for the following reasons: 1) You have a fund and funds are long term things. I would not sell your fund until you have lost 25% or so. Funds do swing back and forth. 2) I looked at the holdings of the fund and would be very hesistant to sell. The ten biggest holdings of the fund seem like duds! Yet look at the complete holdings of the fund and I have to say they are good. 3) I like the fund holdings of Canadian, and Brazilian companies. These two countries are the diamonds in the rough. As countries become uglier and uglier to deal with Canada and Brazil will become more and more attractive. 4) I also notice the funds has holdings in some Russian companies. You want to watch this, not for bad, but for good. Europe is Russia's biggest client, and they pay money. My brother who works in Russia and Eastern Europe is extremely bullish. Here is what I would do (again take it with a grain of salt). Hold onto the fund until next summer if you can bear the pain. By then things should have been shaken out and there will be some clear guidance. Bill:

Ugh… My first article and you ask, “Should I hold or sell?” I guess it is a fair question. After all if I write an article and give advice I should be able to back it up, no? Ok, first disclaimer! I am not a professional! So take my comments and advice with a grain of salt, and I am not liable, ok?

Now to answer your question, should you sell? I looked at your fund in detail, and while I share your pain! And I do! I would be hesistant to sell for the following reasons:

1) You have a fund and funds are long term things. I would not sell your fund until you have lost 25% or so. Funds do swing back and forth.

2) I looked at the holdings of the fund and would be very hesistant to sell. The ten biggest holdings of the fund seem like duds! Yet look at the complete holdings of the fund and I have to say they are good.

3) I like the fund holdings of Canadian, and Brazilian companies. These two countries are the diamonds in the rough. As countries become uglier and uglier to deal with Canada and Brazil will become more and more attractive.

4) I also notice the funds has holdings in some Russian companies. You want to watch this, not for bad, but for good. Europe is Russia’s biggest client, and they pay money. My brother who works in Russia and Eastern Europe is extremely bullish.

Here is what I would do (again take it with a grain of salt). Hold onto the fund until next summer if you can bear the pain. By then things should have been shaken out and there will be some clear guidance.

]]> by: Trends I'm Watching http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-6003 Thu, 28 Sep 2006 12:34:35 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-6003 <strong>Energy Prices and Government Control...</strong> Trend: When the governments of oil-producing countries take most of the profits from joint projects, oil companies seek profits elsewhere, including alternative energy sources. Christian at InvestorGeeks offers insight into the price of oil as big oil ... Energy Prices and Government Control…

Trend: When the governments of oil-producing countries take most of the profits from joint projects, oil companies seek profits elsewhere, including alternative energy sources. Christian at InvestorGeeks offers insight into the price of oil as big oil …

]]> by: Bill http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-5921 Thu, 28 Sep 2006 00:52:33 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-5921 I bought $25,000 worth of Vanguard Energy Fund back in April. It is down to about $23,500. Given your view about the future of oil prices, would you sell even though I would have to pay a 1% redemption fee? I bought $25,000 worth of Vanguard Energy Fund back in April. It is down to about $23,500. Given your view about the future of oil prices, would you sell even though I would have to pay a 1% redemption fee?

]]> by: spendthrift http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-5881 Wed, 27 Sep 2006 18:58:19 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/09/27/thoughts-on-the-price-of-oil-and-gas/#comment-5881 Very interesting analysis. Thanks! Very interesting analysis. Thanks!

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