Comments on: Cramer’s “Cyclical Investing and Trading” Chart http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/ Learning and sharing investment knowledge. Fri, 29 Aug 2008 12:23:25 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.0.4 by: Ben http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-483202 Fri, 25 Jul 2008 17:04:42 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-483202 where can I find the chart online? where can I find the chart online?

]]> by: Alvin http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-461759 Thu, 10 Jul 2008 19:49:29 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-461759 nevermind, i see what you were talking about cody with the interest rates. and also, is the quarterly gdp used to guide as along the chart between years, so that for a whole year we arent blindly estimating where we are? nevermind, i see what you were talking about cody with the interest rates. and also, is the quarterly gdp used to guide as along the chart between years, so that for a whole year we arent blindly estimating where we are?

]]> by: Alvin http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-461756 Thu, 10 Jul 2008 19:47:18 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-461756 Cody, I dont see where you are pointing? On the chart, it says the Fed is easing rates, which would mean it is being lowered. I don't see where you are talking about tightening interest rates. Also, I have the same question he does. Are we supposed to use the quarter or year? I just read Mad Money, so this is the updated chart, and it says GDP growth (annual). Wouldnt this mean we are not supposed to use the quarterly one? Cody, I dont see where you are pointing? On the chart, it says the Fed is easing rates, which would mean it is being lowered. I don’t see where you are talking about tightening interest rates.

Also, I have the same question he does. Are we supposed to use the quarter or year? I just read Mad Money, so this is the updated chart, and it says GDP growth (annual). Wouldnt this mean we are not supposed to use the quarterly one?

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]]> by: Cody http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-264404 Tue, 12 Feb 2008 22:40:56 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-264404 So do you use the annual GDP to guide you on the chart or should you use the quarterly GDP. Quarterly GDP in 2007 is Q1 =0.6 , Q2 = 3.8, Q3 = 4.9, Q4 = 0.6 . So would you say we are close to 0% on the chart which says the cycle starts again. Or would you use the annual GDP which is 2003 = 2.5, 2004 = 3.6, 2005 = 3.1, 2006 = 2.9, 2007 = 2.2 and say that we are at the sell "smokestack" stocks area on the chart. Also how are we tighting interest rates when the Fed just lowered them? So do you use the annual GDP to guide you on the chart or should you use the quarterly GDP. Quarterly GDP in 2007 is Q1 =0.6 , Q2 = 3.8, Q3 = 4.9, Q4 = 0.6 . So would you say we are close to 0% on the chart which says the cycle starts again.

Or would you use the annual GDP which is 2003 = 2.5, 2004 = 3.6, 2005 = 3.1, 2006 = 2.9, 2007 = 2.2 and say that we are at the sell “smokestack” stocks area on the chart.

Also how are we tighting interest rates when the Fed just lowered them?

]]> by: John Brown http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-250152 Fri, 25 Jan 2008 16:29:48 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-250152 You can't even spell 4-letter words (it's 'peak', you fool) and you expect people to take you seriously? You can’t even spell 4-letter words (it’s ‘peak’, you fool) and you expect people to take you seriously?

]]> by: Ethan http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-224543 Thu, 20 Dec 2007 22:35:32 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-224543 ...or are we at the second downturn on the "w"? Or are both downturns the same, just repeating themselves and the declining GDP in both is when he is suggesting to buy banks and financials and sell metals and minerals? …or are we at the second downturn on the “w”? Or are both downturns the same, just repeating themselves and the declining GDP in both is when he is suggesting to buy banks and financials and sell metals and minerals?

]]> by: Ethan http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-224541 Thu, 20 Dec 2007 22:30:48 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-224541 Ok, so then we're at the point where "slowdown is evident" and the Fed has begun to ease rates. That would be at the beginning of the curve as it's drawn, right? I understand the call to buy banks and financials if you believe we've reached the bottom, but with the recent GDP numbers are we really there yet? Ok, so then we’re at the point where “slowdown is evident” and the Fed has begun to ease rates. That would be at the beginning of the curve as it’s drawn, right? I understand the call to buy banks and financials if you believe we’ve reached the bottom, but with the recent GDP numbers are we really there yet?

]]> by: Ray http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-81928 Wed, 23 May 2007 13:52:05 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-81928 http://www.bea.gov/ for the GDP numbers, http://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/ for the interest rates is where I went. I then dumped the numbers into Excel and graphed them - cake. http://www.bea.gov/ for the GDP numbers, http://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/ for the interest rates is where I went. I then dumped the numbers into Excel and graphed them - cake.

]]> by: Steve http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-81542 Wed, 23 May 2007 00:17:16 +0000 http://www.investorgeeks.com/articles/2006/05/14/cramers-cyclical-investing-and-trading-chart/#comment-81542 Where do you go to find the figures to use to find where the US economy is in this chart? Where do you go to find the figures to use to find where the US economy is in this chart?

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